The Capital Assets Pricing Model
The capital asset pricing model (CAPM) is
used to determine a theoretically appropriate required rate of return of an asset
or equilibrium price of assets if that asset is to be added to an already
well-diversified portfolio, given that assets non-diversifiable risk.
The model takes into account the asset's
sensitivity to non-diversifiable risk (also known as systematic risk or market
risk), often represented by the quantity beta (β) in the financial literature,
as well as the expected return of the market and the expected return of a
theoretical risk-free asset.
The model was introduced by Jack Treynor (1961,
1962), William Sharpe (1964), John Lintner (1965) and Jan Mossin (1966)
independently, building on the earlier work of Harry Markowitz on diversification
and modern portfolio theory. Thus this is an extension of the work of
Markowitz. Sharpe, Markowitz and Merton Miller jointly received the Nobel
Memorial Prize in Economics for this contribution to the field of financial
economics.
Assumptions of
CAPM:
- All
investors aim to maximize economic utility and they are rational and
risk-averse meaning that they use the idea proposed by Markowitz.
- Are
broadly diversified across a range of investments.
- All are
price takers, i.e., they cannot influence prices.
- Can lend
and borrow unlimited amounts under the risk free rate of interest.
- Trade
without transaction or taxation costs.
- Deal with
securities that are all highly divisible into small parcels.
- Assume all
information is available at the same time to all investors.
- Perfect
Competitive Markets.
CAPM in Brief:
All investors will choose to hold a portfolio of risk
assets in proportion that duplicates the market portfolio, which includes all
traded assets. For simplicity we generally refer all risky assets as stocks.
The proportion of each stock in the market portfolio equals the market value of
the stocks.
We consider that the market portfolio will not only be on
the efficient frontier, but also in the tangency portfolio to the optimum
capital allocation line [CAL ] derived by each
investors. As a result the CML [one of the CAL ]
will be the best capital allocation possible. As CML is the optimum one,
therefore all investors will hold market portfolio differing only in the amount
of investment.
Derivation in
Simplest Form
Generally all the investors will hold Market Portfolio
which is the tangency between CML and opportunity set. However, if we try to
make a different strategy like:
Market Portfolio: A
market portfolio is a portfolio consisting of a weighted sum of every asset in
the market, with weights in the proportions that they exist in the market (with
the necessary assumption that these assets are infinitely divisible).
Richard Roll's critique
(1977) states that this is only a theoretical concept, as to create a market
portfolio for investment purposes in practice would necessarily include every
single possible available asset, including real estate, precious metals, stamp
collections, jewelry, and anything with any worth, as the theoretical market
being referred to would be the world market
Now, beta
can be measured form the raw data as:
Period
|
Market HPR
|
|
|
-0.084%
|
-0.37%
|
|
-6.950%
|
-7.35%
|
|
4.941%
|
9.33%
|
|
0.477%
|
0.18%
|
|
4.896%
|
0.72%
|
|
-3.670%
|
-1.98%
|
|
-0.858%
|
2.39%
|
|
-0.535%
|
0.72%
|
|
1.571%
|
0.89%
|
|
14.894%
|
20.11%
|
|
5.135%
|
-2.06%
|
|
-0.692%
|
-1.65%
|
|
-0.767%
|
-0.76%
|
|
2.104%
|
2.30%
|
|
14.202%
|
9.76%
|
|
6.621%
|
2.33%
|
|
11.223%
|
6.15%
|
|
-2.258%
|
-8.31%
|
|
17.388%
|
20.88%
|
|
7.912%
|
4.43%
|
|
4.742%
|
-9.58%
|
|
9.740%
|
4.45%
|
|
5.022%
|
8.76%
|
|
Beta
|
0.967479052
|
The Value of Beta:
The value of beta can be any
positive value or any negative value. However absolute value of beta has
different meaning to the investors.
§ A
higher beta means that the sensitivity of the security return with the
market return is very high. Therefore it is mot likely to be a risky security.
However if the value is positive then, the security will give higher return if
the market return goes up and vice-versa. Moreover a security with higher
beta will be considered as aggressive stock.
§ A
lower beta [lower than 1] means that the sensitivity of the security
return with the market return is very low. Therefore it is mot likely to be a
less risky security. However if the value is negative then, the security return
will go down if the market return goes up and vice-versa. Moreover, a
security with lower beta will be considered as defensive stock.
§ The
Beta of 1: This is the beta of market portfolio. Because theoretically the
sensitivity of market returns with market return is 1. Therefore we consider
that market beta is always 1. Alternatively since some security will be
aggressive, some will be defensive, some will be more aggressive or defensive,
some will be less aggressive or defensive, therefore sum of all of them in one
portfolio, which is market portfolio, will be 1.
It is a useful
tool in determining if an asset being considered for a portfolio offers a
reasonable expected return for risk. Individual securities are plotted on the
SML graph. If the security's risk versus expected return is plotted above the
SML, it is undervalued since the investor can expect a greater return
for the inherent risk. And a security plotted below the SML is overvalued
since the investor would be accepting less return for the amount of risk
assumed. If an asset is undervalued by CAPM it should be bought and an
overvalued by CAPM then it should be sold.
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